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Guojin Securities: The warm wind of medical policy comes first, then the progress of innovation going out to sea, and then the opportunity of performance reversal. Guojin Securities Research Report said that the core investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical sector in 25 years will revolve around three logics: 1) innovation going out to sea; 2) demand recovery; 3) Policy expectation reversal. At present, the policy warm wind comes first (the medical track policy continues to warm up, and the overall industry expectation is expected to be optimistic); Then, R&D and innovation will go to sea (innovative drug track will continue to make progress, and it will still be the hottest track in the pharmaceutical sector in 2025, especially it is recommended to pay attention to the clinical data reading and commercialization progress of the first-line target, as well as the fluctuation opportunity of the expected difference of the second-line innovative drugs), and then the performance growth rate is expected to bottom out in the first half of 2025 (but it will take time for this improvement in performance growth rate to come. Considering the current industry communication and historical base, it is expected that 4Q24 and 1Q25 should still be cautiously optimistic.)Inter-bank cash bonds are strong as a whole, and national debt and CDB active bonds are down by 3-5bp. The 5-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds went down by about 5bp, and "24 Treasury bonds with interest 20" reported 1.42%, which was a record low compared with yield to maturity, a Chinese bond in the same period, and "24 CDB 08" reported 1.515% in the same period, a record low since January 26th, 2006. The 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" initially declined, and now it remains below 1.8%.Inter-bank cash bonds are strong as a whole, and national debt and CDB active bonds are down by 3-5bp. The 5-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds went down by about 5bp, and "24 Treasury bonds with interest 20" reported 1.42%, which was a record low compared with yield to maturity, a Chinese bond in the same period, and "24 CDB 08" reported 1.515% in the same period, a record low since January 26th, 2006. The 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" initially declined, and now it remains below 1.8%.

The growth enterprise market index fell to 1%, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.65% and the Shenzhen Composite Index fell by 0.93%. Securities, real estate and food consumption were among the top losers, with nearly 4,300 stocks falling in Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing.The main contract of the container transport index (European line) rose by 150.2 points in the day, and now it is reported at 2567.8 points, an increase of 6.21%.In the exchange market, the national debt rose the most, with "National Debt 2404" rising more than 4%, "National Debt 23", "Special Country 24 03" and "Special Country 24 01" rising nearly 1%.

The central bank's open market today launched a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 205.1 billion yuan, and the operating interest rate was flat at 1.50%. Today, 190.9 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase expired, and the net investment on that day was 14.2 billion yuan.The main contract of the container transport index (European line) rose by 150.2 points in the day, and now it is reported at 2567.8 points, an increase of 6.21%.The Ministry of National Defense responded to the question of whether to engage in exercises: the situation is unpredictable, and the leader of the Taiwan Province region, Lai Qingde, recently "transited" Hawaii and Guam. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, Director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, answered a reporter's question on whether the PLA would conduct exercises. A: It is the sacred duty of the People's Liberation Army to safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity, the fundamental interests of the Chinese nation and the common interests of compatriots on both sides of the strait. Soldiers have no constant potential and water is impermanent. Whether and when to hold the exercise is up to us to decide independently according to our own needs and the struggle situation. No matter whether the exercise is held or not, the PLA will not be absent or soft in fighting for "independence" and promoting reunification. Any act of "seeking independence by relying on foreign countries" and "seeking independence by force" will be severely punished and doomed to failure.